BMI View: USA
IT spending is forecast to reach US$559bn in 2012, up 5.5% year-on-year.
This leaves our 2012-2016 forecast largely unchanged this quarter, despite a
further contraction in PC sales in H112. Meanwhile, public IT procurements
remained constrained due to the budget constraints faced by many government entities.
Overall moderate growth in budgets is expected, but much depends on the economic
situation. Despite a drive to cut expenses across government, many public
sector organizations have appeared willing to continue spending on IT; however,
the government hopes to make savings in its US$80bn IT budget. US businesses
remain cautious, but there is pent-up demand from projects delayed as a result
of the economic situation and cloud computing is expected to be increasingly
important.
United States Information Technology Headline
Expenditure Projections
Computer Hardware Sales: US$141.5bn in
2011 to US$146.8bn in 2012, +3.6% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar
terms unchanged from Q312, but Ultrabook failed to provide the hoped-for
support to PC sales in H112.
Software Sales: US$153.0bn in 2011
to US$163.0bn in 2012, +6.4% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms
unchanged from Q312, but more investment is expected in utility software and
services orientated architectures rather than traditionally packaged PC
software.
IT Services Sales: US$234.9bn in 2011
to US$249.3bn in 2012, +6.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms
unchanged from Q312, with an increasing share of IT budgets being earmarked for
newer solutions such as virtualisation and cloud computing.
Risk/Reward Ratings: The USA scores 76.3 out
of 100.0 for Q412. The USA ranks first in our latest Americas risk/reward
ratings (RRRs) table, ahead of Canada, as well as Latin American giants Brazil
and Mexico. The country ranking was secured by its global highest industry
rewards score of 82.5, while its rating was also boosted a relatively high
country rewards score of 90.0.
United
States Information Technology Key
Trends & Developments.
- The US
federal government’s ambitious Cloud First cloud migration strategy has tasked government
agencies with migrating 80 services to the cloud within 18 months. Key
government agencies including NASA and the General Services Administration are
already using the cloud to collaborate and deliver applications. The government
hopes to eventually realise savings of up to US$12bn per year from the move and
will seek further savings by closing 472 federal data centres by the end of
2012.
- IT vendors
will be concerned when it comes to the effect of the ongoing US federal deficit
issue and the failure of politicians to agree a deficit reduction programme. If
automatic federal spending cuts kick in during the next fiscal year, this could
hit IT projects. The November 2012 elections will also create uncertainty about
the trajectory of future government IT spending.
- US PC
sales are forecast to report single-digit growth in 2012, after a further annualized
contraction in Q212. In H112, sales of ultrabooks fell far short of Intel’s
prediction that ultrabooks would comprise 40% of US notebook sales by the end
of 2012. While exact sales figures are hard to derive, these devices seem
unlikely to enjoy the success that was hoped for, at least initially. In the
United States, the average market price for an ultrabook was upwards of US$900
during H112, compared to around US$500 for a Windows notebook.
Buy your copy of this report @ http://www.rnrmarketresearch.com/united-states-information-technology-report-q4-2012-market-report.html
Report Details:
Published: Oct 2012
No. of pages:76
Price: Single User License: US $1175
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