A transmission system helps power to propagate from power source (engine) to drive mechanism. These systems utilize clutch and gears to provide speed and torque conversions from crank shaft to wheels. Transmission systems have been constantly evolving from manual to automatic or from 5 speed gears to even 8 speed gears. Varying needs of the users such as improved fuel economy, increasing vehicle performance requirements, greater power requirements, and enhanced driving experience have led to tremendous changes and developments in automotive transmission systems.
On the flipside, in order to meet stringent carbon emission norms and reduce transmission power response time, automobile manufacturers are continuously undertaking research efforts to improve vehicle performance which are leading to improvement of transmission systems. Transmission systems selected for study include dual clutch transmission (DCT) and continuously variable transmission (CVT). The report provides market volume (000 units) and revenue ($ Million) forecast for DCT and CVT from 2012 to 2018 for regions such as Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, and Rest of the World (ROW); respective major countries, and vehicle types such as passenger cars and commercial vehicles. Additionally, report covers profiles of major companies active in design, development, and manufacturing of DCT and CVT systems for automobiles. Major players in the global market include Jatco (Japan), ZF Friedrichshafen AG (Germany), Getrag (Germany), and Oerlikon Graziano (Italy).
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Different user preferences and requirements have led to diversified market conditions for DCT and CVT across various regions. For instance, DCTs are expected to have higher installation rates and CVTs are expected to phase out in Europe. On the other hand, in North America and Asia CVTs are predominantly used over DCT.
Amid certain technical limitations of CVT and high cost constraints of DCT, these transmission systems find very less installation rate in commercial vehicles all over the globe. The developing markets such as India and Brazil, automobile manufacturers are yet to explore use of these technologies at greater levels. Major automakers such as Volkswagen (Germany) and Honda (Japan) manufacture these transmission systems in-house or with collaboration/partnership with Tier-I technology or component providers, thereby leaving low market space for independent transmission system manufacturers. Recent developments regarding production facility installations in China by Volkswagen for DCT and collaboration of Getrag with local Chinese players for DCT development have indicated increasing interest levels in this technology and in-turn high growth prospects in the near future.
High traction in CVT market is expected to come from Japan and North America. The facility expansion initiatives by Japanese major Jatco in China and Thailand in recent years indicate substantial growth in high volume Asian markets, thus providing a firm basis for growth in CVT technology at a global scale. Automatic transmission systems in North America and manual transmission systems in Asia and Europe provide tough competition towards greater adoption of CVT and DCT in these regions.
Global DCT market is expected to reach 7.15 million units by 2018, Europe is expected to lead the market followed by Asia-Pacific and North America and global CVT market is expected to reach 11.55 million units by 2018 where Asia-Pacific is expected to lead the market followed by North America and Europe.
The burning issues identified in the market are lower installation rates of these technologies and high cost constraints. The winning imperatives for manufacturers are identified as facility expansions, technical collaborations, and long term supply contracts.
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